Chances Are . . . by Michael Kaplan
Adventures in Probability

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A compelling journey through history, mathematics, and philosophy, charting humanity’s struggle against randomness Our lives are played out in the arena of chance. However little we recognize it in our day-to-day existence, we are always riding the odds, seeking out certainty but settling—reluctantly—for likelihood, building our beliefs on the shadowy props of probability. Chances Are is the story of man’s millennia-long search for the tools to manage the recurrent but unpredictable—to help us prevent, or at least mitigate, the seemingly random blows of disaster, disease, and injustice. In these pages, we meet the brilliant individuals who developed the first abstract formulations of probability, as well as the intrepid visionaries who recognized their practical applications—from gamblers to military strategists to meteorologists to medical researchers, from blackjack to our own mortality.


About Michael Kaplan

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Michael B. Kaplan, television comedy writer and producer, has worked on such shows as Frasier and Roseanne. He lives in California. Stéphane Jorisch was nominated for the Hans Christian Andersen Award for his body of illustration work. He lives in Montreal, Canada.
Published February 27, 2007 by Penguin Books. 336 pages
Genres: Science & Math, Computers & Technology, Professional & Technical, Mystery, Thriller & Suspense. Non-fiction

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The New York Times

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Program A reduced the death rate by 34 percent, Program B produced an absolute reduction in deaths of 0.06 percent, and Program C increased the patient survival rate from 99.82 percent to 99.88 percent.

Mar 31 2006 | Read Full Review of Chances Are . . .: Adventures...

Publishers Weekly

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Our review of Tiger Force (Reviews, Feb 13) incorrectly identified the third author of the Toledo Blade 's newspaper series.

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