Stumbling Giant by Mr. Timothy Beardson
The Threats to China's Future

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A thoughtful reconsideration of China's actual place in the new world order, based on reality rather than fanciful speculation.
-Kirkus

Synopsis

While dozens of recent books and articles have predicted the near-certainty of China’s rise to global supremacy, this book boldly counters such widely-held assumptions. Timothy Beardson brings to light the daunting array of challenges that today confront China, as well as the inadequacy of the policy responses. Threats to China come on many fronts, Beardson shows, and by their number and sheer weight these problems will thwart any ambition to become the world’s “Number One power.” Drawing on extensive research and experience living and working in Asia over the last 35 years, the author spells out China’s situation: an inexorable demographic future of a shrinking labor force, relentless aging, extreme gender disparity, and even a falling population. Also, the nation faces social instability, a devastated environment, a predominantly low-tech economy with inadequate innovation, the absence of an effective welfare safety net, an ossified governance structure, and radical Islam lurking at the borders. Beardson’s nuanced, first-hand look at China acknowledges its historic achievements while tempering predictions of its imminent hegemony with a no-nonsense dose of reality.
 

About Mr. Timothy Beardson

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Timothy Beardson founded and ran Crosby Financial Holdings, at the time the largest independent investment bank in the Far East. Since the late 1990s he has been a frequent speaker on political, economic, environmental, and strategic issues at such events as the World Economic Forum at Davos and at prominent universities. He is a permanent resident of Hong Kong.
 
Published May 21, 2013 by Yale University Press. 529 pages
Genres: Business & Economics, History, Political & Social Sciences, Travel.
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WSJ online

Good
Reviewed by HOWARD W. FRENCH on Jun 26 2013

Mr. Beardson holds forth on subjects as varied as land tenure, education, dynastic history and science. Sometimes the results are provocatively interesting...

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Kirkus

Good
on Mar 31 2013

A thoughtful reconsideration of China's actual place in the new world order, based on reality rather than fanciful speculation.

Read Full Review of Stumbling Giant: The Threats ... | See more reviews from Kirkus

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